Nalo ka lopako ma hope o ka lopako
ʻAʻole hiki ke kapa ʻia ka mea e kali nei iā mākou he hana ʻole. No ke aha mai? No ka mea, ʻaʻohe hemahema o nā robots!
Ke lohe nei mākou e pili ana i kahi lopako e pani ana i kahi mea kākau moʻolelo ma ke keʻena AP, ʻaʻole i haʻalulu mākou i nā hiʻohiʻona like ʻole o nā kaʻa kaʻa ma nā convoy, nā mīkini kūʻai aku no ka poʻe ʻelemakule, nā maʻi a me nā keiki ma kahi o nā kahu hānai a me nā kumu kula kindergarten, bypass mail robots ma kahi o poe lawe leta. , a i ʻole nā ʻōnaehana o nā mokulele honua a me nā lewa ma nā alanui ma kahi o nā mākaʻi kaʻa. Pehea keia poe a pau? Me nā mea hoʻokele, nā kahu hānai, nā leka a me nā mākaʻi? ʻO ka ʻike mai kahi ʻoihana e like me ka ʻoihana kaʻa i hōʻike ʻia ʻaʻole hoʻopau loa ka robotization o ka hana i nā poʻe mai ka hale hana, no ka mea, pono ka nānā ʻana a mālama ʻia, ʻaʻole hiki ke hana ʻia nā hana a pau (akā) e nā mīkini. Akā he aha ka mea e hiki mai ana? ʻAʻole maopopo kēia i nā mea a pau.
ʻO ka manaʻo o ka hoʻomohala ʻana i nā robotics e alakaʻi i ka piʻi ʻana o ka nele i ka hana. Eia naʻe, e like me ka International Federation of Robotics (IFR) hōʻike i paʻi ʻia i kekahi mau mahina i hala aku nei, ua hana mua nā robots ʻoihana i kahi kokoke i 10 miliona mau hana, a e hana nā robots ma waena o 2 a 3,5 miliona mau hana hou i nā makahiki ʻehiku e hiki mai ana. puni honua.
Ua wehewehe nā mea kākau o ka hōʻike ʻaʻole lawe nui nā robots i ka hana ma ke ʻano he poʻe kūʻokoʻa mai nā hana monotonous, koʻikoʻi a i ʻole nā hana weliweli. Ma hope o ka hoʻololi ʻana o ka mea kanu i ka hana robotic, ʻaʻole nalo ka noi no ka hana kanaka akamai, akā ulu. ʻO ka poʻe paʻahana liʻiliʻi wale nō e pilikia. ʻO Dr Carl Frey o ke Kulanui o Oxford, ma The Future of Employment, i paʻi ʻia ma hope koke o ke aʻo ʻana i haʻi ʻia ma mua, wānana ʻo 47% o nā hana i ka pilikia nui o ka nalo ʻana ma muli o ka "automate hana". Ua hoʻohewa ʻia ka ʻepekema no ka hoʻonui, akā ʻaʻole ia i hoʻololi i kona manaʻo. He puke i kapa ʻia ʻo "The Second Machine Age" na Erik Brynjolfsson a me Andrew McAfee (1), nāna e kākau e pili ana i ka ulu ʻana o ka hoʻoweliweli i nā hana haʻahaʻa. "Ua hoʻopau mau ka ʻenehana i nā hana, akā ua hana pū kekahi iā lākou. ʻO kēia ka hihia no nā makahiki he 200 i hala iho nei, "i ʻōlelo ai ʻo Brynjolfsson i kahi hālāwai ninaninau. "Akā naʻe, mai ka makahiki 90, ua hoʻomaka ka emi ʻana o ka ratio o ka poʻe hana i ka heluna kanaka. Pono nā keʻena aupuni e noʻonoʻo i kēia hanana i ka wā e alakaʻi ai i nā kulekele waiwai.
Ua hui pū ʻo Microsoft hoʻokumu ʻo Bill Gates i ka hui e lawe i nā loli nui i ka mākeke hana. Ma Malaki 2014, ma kahi ʻaha kūkā ma Wakinekona, ua ʻōlelo ʻo ia i nā makahiki he 20 e hiki mai ana, e nalowale nā hana he nui. "Inā mākou e kamaʻilio e pili ana i nā mea hoʻokele, nā kahu hānai a i ʻole nā waiters, ke hoʻomaka nei ka holomua ʻenehana. E hoʻopau ka ʻenehana i ka pono o nā hana, ʻoi aku ka liʻiliʻi o nā mea paʻakikī (…) ʻAʻole wau i manaʻo ua mākaukau nā kānaka no kēia, "wahi āna.
E hoʻomauʻia helu kumuhana E loaʻa iā ʻoe ma ka pukana o Sepatemaba.
